Paperisation: Paper’s Potential to Reshape the Future of Packaging

July 2025

Paper-based packaging is gaining momentum as a renewable packaging choice, driven by consumer preferences and brand strategies. Increasing environmental scrutiny and regulatory pressure presents opportunities and a clear need to optimise sustainable solutions. This report examines the rise of paper packaging, its environmental credentials and reveals how to navigate evolving regulatory, technological and trading challenges, to secure its place in a waste-conscious, circular economy.

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Key findings

Paper trends as a plastic replacement solution and pollution antidote

Paper-based packaging is gaining traction in brands’ packaging strategies, particularly as a replacement for plastic. Its use, and potential, extends beyond core consumer FMCG applications into multipacks, transit packaging and filler materials. R&D is exploring paper-based closures and functional coatings to broaden potential - clear signs of the embedding of sustainable materials.

Folding cartons headline volume gains for paper-based packaging

Folding cartons lead with above-average growth across paper-based packaging, driven by consumption and conversion. With consumer focus on food staples, at-home dining boosts cartons, from rice to ready meals, while indulgence offers snackification potential from chocolate to snacks and ice cream. Switching to paper reduces plastic use and can improve pack circularity.

Paper: A circularity champion with untapped renewable potential

As climate consciousness grows, including concerns over plastic pollution, consumers are increasingly drawn to packaging that reduces environmental footprint. Paper holds “most sustainable material” accolade, for over half of consumers, thanks to its recyclability and plastic-free/reduced qualities. There is room to strengthen understanding of paper’s circularity, on-pack.

Regulation is ramping up, and paper must get ready

As regulatory interventions rise, compliance becomes critical. While plastic remains the most regulated, paper now faces rising demands, from recycling targets to phasing out PFAS in coatings and complying with the EU’s new deforestation rules. Brands need to get ahead of regulation through innovation, responsible sourcing and design, and improved sustainability reporting.

Strategic collaborations and innovation to mitigate industry turbulence

The paper packaging sector is under cost pressures including from economic uncertainty, energy volatility, trade tensions and shifting consumer demands. While these risk slowing growth and circularity, regulation and a suite of mergers, acquisitions and innovation partnerships signals how industry players are choosing to consolidate and invest to scale efficiency and circularity.

Paperisation : Paper’s Potential to Reshape the Future of Packaging
Key findings
Paper in the ascendancy
Key drivers shaping the future of paper-based packaging
What is paperisation? And why does it matter?
Paper-based packaging secures above-average growth in core formats
Folding cartons: Food staples and time-saving meal aids fuel expansion
NPD: Myriad new designs in paper and board
Liquid cartons: Reversal of fortunes as drinks are set to outperform dairy
NPD: Health and plastic reduction drive new liquid carton launches
Desire to replace fossil fuel-based plastics is the core paperisation driver
Switching from metal and glass brings additional potential to lower carbon impact
Sustainability is a must-do and a success story for paper packaging
Consumers care about the environment and want sustainable packaging
As holder of “most sustainable” status, paper is well placed for growth
K-beauty conversion: Moorim and Kolmar remove plastic from product and packaging
Fibre-based innovation that extends beyond the core consumer pack
Sustainability claims slow, but not for packaging: Use claims to build equity
Clean beauty: A trailblazer for sustainable packaging launches
Regulatory and supply factors
Paper faces more regulatory scrutiny: Prepare for PPWR compliance
New EU forestry rules on paper traceability and the benefits of compliance
China’s evolving regulation on the fast-growing e-commerce delivery sector
Tackling technical barrier challenges with sustainable coatings
Circularity via mineral-based and seaweed coatings for foodservice packaging
Paperisation assurances: Do not overlook paper’s positives in brand messaging
Trade tensions raise the risk of a paper packaging and circularity slowdown
Joining forces: A key strategy to mitigate cost pressures and to fuel innovation
Recommendations
The evolution of paper-based packaging
Questions we are asking
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