Kenya’s real GDP growth slowed to 5.0% in 2024, but remained above the regional average, supported by strong public and private spending, and rising vegetable exports. Inflation returned to target and is predicted to stay within range in 2025. Looking ahead, the economy is projected to expand at a 5.0% CAGR over the period to 2029, driven by infrastructure investment, resilient agriculture, steady services growth, and a gradual industrial recovery.
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The Country Briefings series examine market potential, economic and consumer trends impacting each country and how they are set to change.
Each Country Briefing covers one of these topics:
Economy, Finance and Trade: Understanding the structure, health and potential risks of an economy are important for decision-making within an existing operating environment as well as for expansion strategies. Real GDP growth, inflation and exchange rate fluctuations will directly impact consumer market potential. Import and export trade profiles help gauge how open an economy is to trade and investment, while analysis of government finances can be used to explore macroeconomic stability and susceptibility to economic shocks.
Income and Expenditure: Insights into income, wealth and expenditure of consumers are vital in helping businesses make strategic decisions with regards to which country (or even which region within a country) to enter, which consumer segment to target, which products or services to market, and at which price point. Other factors such as the size and expansion of the middle class and income inequality are also important in helping companies gauge the potential of a country market.
Households: Global shifts in gender, ageing, migration and housing are transforming the size, location, general make-up as well as income and expenditure of households around the globe, with diverse implications for governments and companies. Households insights can help identify the decision-making processes and consumption tastes of different household groups and types within a country, and assess household appliance and digital readiness that is key for formulating market technology and internet strategies.
Business Dynamics: A stable and competitive business environment is vital to operate efficiently and attract inward investment. Businesses can assess these factors alongside challenges such as corruption, political instability and terrorism, also gain insight into business operating environment and make strategic investment decisions. Transport infrastructure, ICT readiness and labour force dynamics will also identify potential issues with a supply chain and the level of workforce skills.
Commodities: Insights on key sectors directly related to the environmental commodities of a country such as energy, water, pollution, environmental resilience, forest and biodiversity and food and agriculture help businesses to make strategic decisions in relation to environmental and commodities trends, improve brand reputation and ensure long-term operations while ultimately growing the bottom line.
The briefings cover 103 countries and identify topics of crucial interest to planners, marketers and researchers.
Economy, Finance and Trade: Kenya
HEADLINES
Kenya’s economy cools, but outpaces broader region owing to robust domestic demand
Kenya’s inflation eases, central bank extends rate cuts to support growth
Kenya’s export growth at risk amid US tariff shift and looming AGOA expiry
Kenya’s public debt declines as revenues increase
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