The World Market for Fast-Moving Consumer Goods: Outlook and Opportunities

September 2025

The global FMCG market is projected to grow by 4.6% in current value terms to reach USD6.6 trillion. Growth is largely price led and financial concerns are weighing heavily on consumer behaviour given sustained cost-of-living pressures. Opportunities lie in emerging markets, health and wellness trends, and e-commerce. Key growth industries include soft drinks and beauty and personal care.

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Key findings

FMCG in an age of uncertainty

Financial concerns are weighing heavily on consumer behaviour given sustained cost-of-living pressures and worries about the future. A cautious consumer spending mindset is fuelling cutbacks in discretionary purchases, trading down and interest in private label products. Global FMCG sales will grow by 4.6% in 2025 in current value terms. In 2025, the fastest growing industry is expected to be soft drinks (6.5%), followed by cooking ingredients and meals (5.7%).

Holistic wellbeing is prioritised as budgets tighten

Total FMCG sales will see a 5.3% CAGR in current value terms over 2025-2029. In mature markets especially, future growth will rely on adding value through innovative products or formats - which can be approached from various angles. Consumers’ desire to take charge of their mental and physical wellbeing is one prominent theme running through demand. For example, an emphasis on longevity and healthy ageing holds cross-generational potential.

Emerging markets move further into the spotlight

Emerging markets will be pivotal to future volume and value growth, with India and Brazil among the standout opportunities. Per household disposable income in India will grow almost three times faster than the global average, between 2025 and 2029. Local brands are gaining popularity by catering to local tastes at accessible price points. At the same time, rising interest in premium offerings opens the door for international brands that can adapt to the nuances of geographic variations in demand.

Finding the bright spots

Over the next five years, the fastest growing categories will be alcoholic ready-to-drink mixes (RTDs), energy drinks and fragrances. Across FMCG, opportunities will be found in balancing price with tangible benefits or emotional resonance - which could take the form of functional ingredients, sustainable features, or an aspirational positioning. External verification of claims builds trust, while technological progress promises more effective, collaborative outreach.

 

Why read this report?
FMCG in 2025: Characterised by uncertainty and price sensitivity
Key findings
Despite the challenges opportunities remain
Beyond Affordability: Economic uncertainty prompts retailers to adjust loyalty programmes
Healthy Longevity: Wellness presents an opportunity to target consumers by life stage
Intentional Consumption: Consumers seek control amidst global uncertainty
Market Volatility: Emerging markets such as India provide key opportunities
Next-Gen Online Storefront: E-commerce continues to drive growth and evolve in 2025
Economic uncertainty surges in 2025
Price-led value growth masks underlying challenges
Soft drinks and cooking ingredients and meals top 2025 performance
RTDs, energy drinks and fragrances lead growth forecasts
India and Brazil are at the forefront as emerging markets gain ground
US and China overshadow other markets in e-commerce
Key opportunities in FMCG
Food and beverages: Geographic shifts and affordability-driven adjustments
Functionality, cost concerns and pricing shape the category outlook
Private label and affordability: Consumers prioritise price, but not above all
American Cola and the rise of affordable, local hero brands in emerging markets
Increased focus on affordability due to geopolitical tensions and cost-of-living crisis
Fragrances set to become fastest growing category
Walgreens premiumises private label skin care to further price accessibility
Premiumisation potential despite financial headwinds
Personalisation signals a new era in home care and pet care
AI in pet nutrition: Ollie launches AI-powered solution
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