Retail in 2024: The big picture
Although 2024 saw a drop in the unemployment rate and a slight improvement in average wages in Brazil, retail still faced macroeconomic challenges. The level of indebtedness of Brazilians, which was around 77% in December 2023, reached a peak of 79% in June 2024, according to the National Confederation of Commerce of Goods, Services and Tourism (CNC), when it then began to experience a moderate decline until the end of the year.
Mergers and acquisitions by strong companies impact retailing in 2024
2024 began with important mergers of operations of leaders in channels such as apparel and footwear specialists and pet shops and superstores. In the first case, Arezzo&Co joined forces with the fashion group Grupo de Moda Soma, which amongst other brands includes Hering and Hering Kids from Cia Hering.
Warehouse clubs increase their revenue
Warehouse clubs maintained dynamic double-digit retail current value growth for another year in 2024, along with a further increase in outlet numbers. As has been the case in previous years, in 2024 the main food retail groups – Carrefour, Sendas Distribuidora (Assaí), and Mateus – increasingly invested in the warehouse clubs model by opening new outlets.
What next for retail?
Retail in Brazil is set to see solid current value growth throughout the forecast period, with most channels expected to see their sales increase. In particular, it is expected that retail e-commerce will see dynamic growth in the coming years, from an already high base.
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Overview:
Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Retail industry in Brazil with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.
Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.
Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to the following key categories, where applicable:
- Convenience Stores
- Discounters
- Hypermarkets
- Supermarkets
- Traditional Grocery Retailers
- Apparel and Footwear Specialist Retailers
- Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
- Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
- Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
- Department Stores
- Variety Stores
- Warehouse Clubs
- Direct Selling
- Homeshopping
- Vending
If you're in the Retail industry in Brazil, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.
The Retail in Brazil report includes:
- Analysis of key retail trends
- Detailed segmentation of offline and online retail sales
- Historic channel sizes (retail value sales, outlet counts, and selling space)
- Company and brand market shares (retail value sales and outlet counts)
- Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
- Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country
This report answers:
- What is the market size of Retail in Brazil?
- Which are the leading retailers in Retail in Brazil?
- How are products distributed in Retail in Brazil?
- How is the rise of e-commerce and the expansion of modern grocery retail impacting traditional retail?
- How significant are discounters and private label in Brazil?
- To what extent are sales shifting towards digital channels?
- What is the long-term outlook for bricks-and-mortar?
- How is macroeconomic and political uncertainty affecting the retail industry?
- What types of retailers are seeing the fastest growth in digital sales?
- What is the future of retail?
Retail in Brazil
Retail in 2024: The big picture
Mergers and acquisitions by strong companies impact retailing in 2024
Warehouse clubs increase their revenue
What next for retail?
Informal retail
Opening hours for physical retail
Seasonality
Carnival
Consumer Day
Mother’s Day
Father’s Day
Client Day
Children’s Day
Black Friday and Cyber Monday
Christmas
Summer
Back to school
DISCLAIMER
Convenience Retailers in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
OXXO’s aggressive expansion boosts sales of convenience retailers
Positive performances for most convenience retailers in 2024
Americanas SA and Dia Brasil exit convenience retailers
Dynamic growth performance expected during the forecast period
The opening of more convenience retailers in residential condominiums
Opening of OXXO stores set to continue at pace
Supermarkets in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Inflation on necessities boosts value sales of supermarkets
The entry of private equity into food retail
The alignment of strategies of the main players in supermarkets provides room for the growth of regional chains
Supermarkets expected to see stable growth in the forecast period
Mergers and acquisitions likely over the forecast period 2024-2029
Players in supermarkets will need to reinvent their brands to survive
Hypermarkets in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Warehouse clubs leads grocery retail sales, leaving hypermarkets behind
Carrefour continues to dominate hypermarkets, despite closing a number of outlets
Hypermarkets faces strong competition from warehouse clubs, neighbourhood supermarkets, and convenience retailers
Hypermarkets likely to continue to struggle to compete
Carrefour expected to continue to lead hypermarkets
The continued clash between hypermarkets and warehouse clubs
Discounters in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Poor performances and changing strategies lead players to reduce their presence in discounters
Major players in discounters face an uncertain competitive landscape
Costs rise more than profitability in the post-pandemic period
Discounters expected to continue to face strong competition from other retail channels
The future of the discounters business model may be defined in the coming years
Not very optimistic expectations for discounters in the forecast period
Small Local Grocers in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Cacau Show invests in the development of 7,000 hectares as cocoa prices rise
CRM Group’s sales bounce back in 2024, but it faces dispute over “cat’s tongue”
Small local grocers have to combat competition from other channels
Cacau Show will invest resources to diversify its business and drive growth
Nestlé aligns with the CRM Group plan to expand the number of outlets
Daily purchases by low- and middle-income families, and the preference for quality and differentiation will boost sales
General Merchandise Stores in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Havan recovers its sales in 2024, after a drop in the previous year
Lojas Leader kept six outlets open in 2024, but these will close their doors
Americanas SA will have to go a long way to regain its credibility with creditors, shareholders, and consumers
Havan will continue to be the leading brand in department stores during the forecast period
Americanas SA set to remain the leader in variety stores during the forecast period
Difficulties will remain for many retailers in general merchandise stores
Apparel and Footwear Specialists in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Falling unemployment and slight improvement in per capita income help maintain sales in apparel and footwear specialists
Azzas 2154 SA is a new fashion giant in Brazil
Apparel and footwear specialists faces yet another e-commerce heavyweight, in addition to Shein and Shopee
Growth anticipated for the forecast period, but the competition will increase
Players will adjust their strategies to defend their shares over 2024-2029
Lojas Marisa likely to continue to experience difficulties throughout the forecast period
Appliances and Electronics Specialists in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Interest rates and unemployment versus inflation in 2024
The two leaders see different performances
Climate change influences Brazilians’ purchases
More summers with intense heat predicted, which should keep sales of fans and air conditioners high
Tax reform could have a negative impact on sales of major appliances and televisions in the coming years
With the prospect of inflation being controlled within the target, and employment growth, rising sales are expected over the forecast period
Home Products Specialists in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
The two largest pet superstores merge their operations
After a challenging period, Tok & Stok is acquired by Mobly
Leroy Merlin is still the absolute leader in home improvement and gardening stores
PAC investment likely to drive optimism and growth for home products specialists
After a period of adjustment, Cobasi should expand the number of stores in the coming years
Mobly owners have ambitious plans for Tok & Stok
Health and Beauty Specialists in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Independent perfumeries lead sales in beauty specialists in 2024
Domestic chain of beauty specialists leads sales through franchises
Mundo Verde is the largest chain offering natural and healthy products in Latin America
Pharmacies set to maintain its strong growth trend through outlet expansion
Growth in formal employment will have a positive impact on stores that sell beauty and health products
Recent acquisitions will bring new investments
Vending in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Convenience and contactless payments favour vending sales
Coca-Cola leads vending thanks to sales of carbonates
Product diversification is a reality for new vending machines
Brazil is still a small market for vending compared with others globally, offering potential for growth
Technology, quick stock replenishment, and payment diversity will guarantee the success of vending machines
Challenge to vending sales, with competition from neighbourhood stores
Direct Selling in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Beauty and personal care leads direct selling in 2024
Natura&Co divests The Body Shop and AESOP
Multi-brand sales representatives grow
Growth in formal employment could impact direct selling in the short term
A move into other channels, especially for players in beauty and personal care
Relationship-based sales set to continue, but adapt
Retail E-Commerce in Brazil
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Retail e-commerce already holds a significant share of retail sales in Brazil
Mercado Libre becomes the most valuable company in Latin America in 2024
New international players intensify their presence
Brazil expected to see an increase in the share of e-commerce in retail
Competition set to intensify in the coming years
Fierce competition is also expected amongst small players
The following categories and subcategories are included:
Retail
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- Convenience Stores
- Forecourt Retailers
- Supermarkets
- Hypermarkets
- Discounters
- Warehouse Clubs
- Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
- Small Local Grocers
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- Department Stores
- Variety Stores
- Apparel and Footwear Specialists
- Appliances and Electronics Specialists
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- Home Improvement and Gardening Stores
- Homewares and Home Furnishing Stores
- Pet Shops and Superstores
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- Beauty Specialists
- Pharmacies
- Optical Goods Stores
- Health and Personal Care Stores
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- Bags and Luggage Specialists
- Jewellery and Watch Specialists
- Sports Goods Stores
- Traditional Toys and Games Stores
- Other Non-Grocery Retailers
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- Fashion Vending
- Health and Beauty Vending
- Appliances and Electronics Vending
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- Alcoholic Drinks Vending
- Hot Drinks Vending
- Soft Drinks Vending
- Tobacco Products Vending
- Foods Vending
- Home Products Vending
- Other Products Vending
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- Apparel and Footwear Direct Selling
- Personal Accessories Direct Selling
- Eyewear Direct Selling
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- Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
- Consumer Health Direct Selling
- Tissue and Hygiene Direct Selling
- Appliances and Electronics Direct Selling
- Drinks and Tobacco Direct Selling
- Foods Direct Selling
- Home Products Direct Selling
- Other Products Direct Selling
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- Apparel and Footwear E-Commerce
- Personal Accessories E-Commerce
- Eyewear E-Commerce
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- Beauty and Personal Care E-Commerce
- Consumer Health E-Commerce
- Tissue and Hygiene E-Commerce
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- Consumer Appliances E-Commerce
- Consumer Electronics E-Commerce
- Toys and Games E-Commerce
- Drinks and Tobacco E-Commerce
- Foods E-Commerce
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- Home Care E-Commerce
- Home and Garden E-Commerce
- Pet Care E-Commerce
- Other Products E-Commerce
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- First-Party (1P) Marketplace E-Commerce
- Third-Party (3P) Marketplace E-Commerce
- Grocery E-Commerce
- General Merchandiser E-Commerce
- Apparel and Footwear Specialist E-Commerce
- Appliances and Electronics Specialist E-Commerce
- Home Products Specialist E-Commerce
- Health and Beauty Specialist E-Commerce
- Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist E-Commerce
- Other E-Commerce Retailers
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Retail
Retail is the sale of new and used goods to consumers from a business for personal or household consumption from retail outlets, kiosks, market stalls, vending, direct selling and e-commerce. Retail is the aggregation of Retail Offline and Retail E-Commerce. Excludes specialist retailers of motor vehicles, motorcycles, vehicle parts. Also excludes fuel sales, foodservice sales, rental transactions, and wholesale sales (e.g. Cash and Carry). Sales value excluding or including VAT/Sales Tax. Retail also excludes the informal retail sector. Informal retailing is retail trade which is not declared to the tax authorities. Informal retailing encompasses (a) sales generated by unregistered and unlicensed retailers, i.e. retailers operating illegally, and (b) any proportion of sales generated by a registered and licensed retailer that is not declared to the tax authorities. Unregistered and unlicensed retailers operate predominantly (although not exclusively) as street hawkers or operate open market stalls, as these channels are harder for the authorities to monitor than permanent outlets. Activities in the illegal market, which is usually understood to refer to trade in illegal, counterfeit or stolen merchandise, are included within our definition of informal retailing. Activities in the “grey market”, which is usually understood to refer to trade in legal merchandise that is sold through unauthorized channels – for example cigarettes bought legally in another country, legally imported, but sold at lower prices than in authorized channels – will be included as informal retailing if no tax is paid on sale by the retailer. However if the retailer pays tax – for example on cigarettes bought legally in another country but sold at a lower price than standard – the sale is included within formal retail.
See all of our definitionsWhy buy this report?
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This report originates from Passport, our Retail research and analysis database.
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