Retail in 2024: The big picture
Consumer confidence improves, but grocery price sensitivity remains high
Retail in Bulgaria experienced a shift in 2024 as declining inflation and growing purchasing power encouraged consumers to resume purchases of high-value products that had been postponed during recent economic uncertainty. This trend particularly benefited home products and electronics specialist retailers, with demand for household appliances, furniture, and smart technology increasing.
E-commerce growth stabilises as omnichannel retailing becomes essential
Although e-commerce in Bulgaria continued to grow, its pace of expansion slowed compared to the pandemic-driven surge of previous years. Instead of prioritising purely digital sales, retailers increasingly focused on balanced omnichannel strategies to cater to evolving consumer expectations.
Retailers invest in digitalisation and in-store innovation
Retailers in Bulgaria made significant strides in digitalisation in 2024, focusing on both customer experience enhancements and operational efficiency improvements. Many businesses introduced advanced technological solutions to optimise internal processes, reduce costs, and improve energy efficiency.
What next for retail?
Retail in Bulgaria is expected to register moderate constant value growth over the forecast period. However, the ongoing decline in population due to low birth rates and migration will shrink the potential consumer base, limiting long-term retail expansion.
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Overview:
Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Retail industry in Bulgaria with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.
Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.
Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to the following key categories, where applicable:
- Convenience Stores
- Discounters
- Hypermarkets
- Supermarkets
- Traditional Grocery Retailers
- Apparel and Footwear Specialist Retailers
- Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
- Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
- Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
- Department Stores
- Variety Stores
- Warehouse Clubs
- Direct Selling
- Homeshopping
- Vending
If you're in the Retail industry in Bulgaria, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.
The Retail in Bulgaria report includes:
- Analysis of key retail trends
- Detailed segmentation of offline and online retail sales
- Historic channel sizes (retail value sales, outlet counts, and selling space)
- Company and brand market shares (retail value sales and outlet counts)
- Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
- Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country
This report answers:
- What is the market size of Retail in Bulgaria?
- Which are the leading retailers in Retail in Bulgaria?
- How are products distributed in Retail in Bulgaria?
- How is the rise of e-commerce and the expansion of modern grocery retail impacting traditional retail?
- How significant are discounters and private label in Bulgaria?
- To what extent are sales shifting towards digital channels?
- What is the long-term outlook for bricks-and-mortar?
- How is macroeconomic and political uncertainty affecting the retail industry?
- What types of retailers are seeing the fastest growth in digital sales?
- What is the future of retail?
Retail in Bulgaria
Retail in 2024: The big picture
Consumer confidence improves, but grocery price sensitivity remains high
E-commerce growth stabilises as omnichannel retailing becomes essential
Retailers invest in digitalisation and in-store innovation
What next for retail?
Informal retail
Opening hours for physical retail
Seasonality
Shopping Season Christmas
Shopping Season Back to school
DISCLAIMER
Convenience Retailers in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Consumers prioritising cost-efficiency amid high grocery prices
Competitive landscape remains stable with ongoing expansion of Billa Dnes
Billa Dnes redefines convenience retailing with a hybrid store concept
Minimal growth anticipated due to demographic and market saturation challenges
Omnichannel strategies to drive future growth and digital transformation
Increased investment from international and local players into convenience formats
Supermarkets in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Improving purchasing power drives growth as loyalty programmes and private label gain popularity
Billa strengthens its leadership position and expands e-commerce operations
Carrefour re-enters Bulgaria, shaking up the competitive landscape
Supermarkets to deepen partnerships with local suppliers and expand private label offerings
Increased competition as Carrefour expands and online grocery sales gain momentum
Digitalisation and sustainability to shape the future of supermarkets
Hypermarkets in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Shift towards smaller-format stores challenges hypermarkets’ growth
Kaufland strengthens its leadership with store expansion and retail innovation
Sustainability initiatives gain prominence in hypermarket retailing
Slower growth ahead as hypermarket expansion reaches saturation
Non-food categories to drive future sales growth
E-commerce expansion set to transform the hypermarket channel
Discounters in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Discounters continue to capture market share from supermarkets and hypermarkets
Lidl cements its position as the dominant player with a growing focus on local products
Kam 2014 expands its footprint as hard discounter formats gain popularity
Growth to continue, but at a slower pace due to market saturation
Discounters set to maintain the strongest growth within grocery retailing
The absence of an online presence may pose challenges for discounters
Small Local Grocers in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Small local grocers struggle as consumers prioritise lower prices
Diverse formats continue to characterise the small local grocers landscape
Discounters continue to erode value share from traditional grocery formats
Small local grocers expected to be the weakest-performing grocery channel
E-commerce and digital integration as potential survival strategies
Private label development remains a key competitive strategy
General Merchandise Stores in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Department stores struggle to remain relevant amid growing competition from specialist retailers
Variety stores remain a niche and underdeveloped retail channel
Studio Moderna’s Top Shop strengthens its position in variety stores
Department stores face an uncertain future amid shifting consumer preferences
Variety stores must focus on novelty and product rotation to maintain relevance
General merchandise stores to see modest growth but face increasing pressure from e-commerce
Apparel and Footwear Specialists in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Apparel and footwear sector benefits from improved economic conditions and consumer confidence
The rise of discount fashion chains reshapes the competitive landscape
Second-hand and outlet shopping gains traction as consumers prioritise affordability and sustainability
Positive outlook for the sector despite challenges from demographic decline
E-commerce to drive industry growth as retailers enhance omnichannel strategies
Fast fashion to gain market share as price sensitivity continues to influence consumer behaviour
Appliances and Electronics Specialists in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Improved economic conditions boost demand for high-value electronics and appliances
Leading players maintain strong positions while the market remains fragmented
Smart devices and gaming drive category growth within the sector
Stable demand but price competition to limit retail sales price (RSP) growth
E-commerce set to post double-digit growth while physical stores retain relevance
Innovation and smart technology to shape future consumer demand
Home Products Specialists in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Construction sector slows, leading to weaker growth in home improvement retail
Homewares and home furnishing stores benefit from renewed consumer confidence
IKEA maintains leadership with innovation and sustainability initiatives
Moderate growth expected, but demographic challenges may dampen demand
Pet shops and superstores to experience the strongest growth
E-commerce to gain traction as retailers expand digital offerings
Health and Beauty Specialists in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Beauty specialists experience strong growth as economic conditions improve
Pharmacies and health stores expand as demand for preventive healthcare rises
Retailers focus on digitalisation and customer experience to stay competitive
Beauty specialist retailers set to be the fastest-growing channel
Health and personal care stores to expand as retailers embrace cross-category sales
Omnichannel presence becomes critical for long-term success
Vending in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Vending experiences a slight decline as competition from convenience stores intensifies
Regulatory changes allow vending machines to distribute over-the-counter medicines
Advancements in technology enhance vending convenience and product diversity
Digitalisation and expanded functionality to drive vending growth
Retailers embrace vending as a cost-effective alternative to staffed stores
Security concerns remain a challenge for vending machine operators
Direct Selling in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Direct selling experiences decline as e-commerce continues to take market share
Avon and Oriflame remain leaders but adapt to digital transformation
International players dominate, benefiting from strong networks and financial stability
Direct selling set to continue its decline amid competition from e-commerce
Digital marketing and social commerce offer new opportunities for direct sellers
Health, wellness, and hygiene categories expected to see growth
Retail E-Commerce in Bulgaria
KEY DATA FINDINGS
E-commerce growth slows but remains strong as omnichannel retailers gain traction
Appliances and electronics dominate online sales, with Technopolis leading the market
Retailers focus on maximising digital infrastructure investments and enhancing delivery services
E-commerce set for continued expansion, though at a slower pace
Grocery e-commerce poised for rapid growth
Investment in distribution centres and pick-up points will be critical for future success
The following categories and subcategories are included:
Retail
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- Convenience Stores
- Forecourt Retailers
- Supermarkets
- Hypermarkets
- Discounters
- Warehouse Clubs
- Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
- Small Local Grocers
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- Department Stores
- Variety Stores
- Apparel and Footwear Specialists
- Appliances and Electronics Specialists
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- Home Improvement and Gardening Stores
- Homewares and Home Furnishing Stores
- Pet Shops and Superstores
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- Beauty Specialists
- Pharmacies
- Optical Goods Stores
- Health and Personal Care Stores
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- Bags and Luggage Specialists
- Jewellery and Watch Specialists
- Sports Goods Stores
- Traditional Toys and Games Stores
- Other Non-Grocery Retailers
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- Fashion Vending
- Health and Beauty Vending
- Appliances and Electronics Vending
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- Alcoholic Drinks Vending
- Hot Drinks Vending
- Soft Drinks Vending
- Tobacco Products Vending
- Foods Vending
- Home Products Vending
- Other Products Vending
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- Apparel and Footwear Direct Selling
- Personal Accessories Direct Selling
- Eyewear Direct Selling
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- Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
- Consumer Health Direct Selling
- Tissue and Hygiene Direct Selling
- Appliances and Electronics Direct Selling
- Drinks and Tobacco Direct Selling
- Foods Direct Selling
- Home Products Direct Selling
- Other Products Direct Selling
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- Apparel and Footwear E-Commerce
- Personal Accessories E-Commerce
- Eyewear E-Commerce
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- Beauty and Personal Care E-Commerce
- Consumer Health E-Commerce
- Tissue and Hygiene E-Commerce
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- Consumer Appliances E-Commerce
- Consumer Electronics E-Commerce
- Toys and Games E-Commerce
- Drinks and Tobacco E-Commerce
- Foods E-Commerce
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- Home Care E-Commerce
- Home and Garden E-Commerce
- Pet Care E-Commerce
- Other Products E-Commerce
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- First-Party (1P) Marketplace E-Commerce
- Third-Party (3P) Marketplace E-Commerce
- Grocery E-Commerce
- General Merchandiser E-Commerce
- Apparel and Footwear Specialist E-Commerce
- Appliances and Electronics Specialist E-Commerce
- Home Products Specialist E-Commerce
- Health and Beauty Specialist E-Commerce
- Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist E-Commerce
- Other E-Commerce Retailers
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Retail
Retail is the sale of new and used goods to consumers from a business for personal or household consumption from retail outlets, kiosks, market stalls, vending, direct selling and e-commerce. Retail is the aggregation of Retail Offline and Retail E-Commerce. Excludes specialist retailers of motor vehicles, motorcycles, vehicle parts. Also excludes fuel sales, foodservice sales, rental transactions, and wholesale sales (e.g. Cash and Carry). Sales value excluding or including VAT/Sales Tax. Retail also excludes the informal retail sector. Informal retailing is retail trade which is not declared to the tax authorities. Informal retailing encompasses (a) sales generated by unregistered and unlicensed retailers, i.e. retailers operating illegally, and (b) any proportion of sales generated by a registered and licensed retailer that is not declared to the tax authorities. Unregistered and unlicensed retailers operate predominantly (although not exclusively) as street hawkers or operate open market stalls, as these channels are harder for the authorities to monitor than permanent outlets. Activities in the illegal market, which is usually understood to refer to trade in illegal, counterfeit or stolen merchandise, are included within our definition of informal retailing. Activities in the “grey market”, which is usually understood to refer to trade in legal merchandise that is sold through unauthorized channels – for example cigarettes bought legally in another country, legally imported, but sold at lower prices than in authorized channels – will be included as informal retailing if no tax is paid on sale by the retailer. However if the retailer pays tax – for example on cigarettes bought legally in another country but sold at a lower price than standard – the sale is included within formal retail.
See all of our definitionsWhy buy this report?
- Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
- Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
- Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions
This report originates from Passport, our Retail research and analysis database.
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