Retail in 2024: Resilient growth amidst a challenging operating environment
Retail saw further current value growth in Indonesia in 2024 despite a challenging operating environment, including weakened consumer purchasing power, especially in the middle-income segment. However, while grocery retailers still managed to grow in 2024, albeit at a slower rate than in the previous year, this was not the case for non-grocery retailers, which experienced decline.
Outlet numbers stagnate in Indonesian retail
Outlet numbers stagnated in Indonesia in 2024. Offline retail’s already growing competition with retail e-commerce was intensified by consumers’ weakening purchasing power.
Different strategies offered by grocery retailers and non-grocery retailers
Grocery retailers engaged in a number of activities in an effort to attract consumers in 2024. These included more frequent price discounts and promotional activities and offering more fresh products, such as coffee, pastries, and Korean snacks.
What next for retail?
Retail is expected to see further value growth in Indonesia over the forecast period. There is expected to be an improvement in economic conditions, with this the main driver, as well as the role of the retail industry in meeting basic and non-basic human consumption needs.
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Overview:
Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Retail industry in Indonesia with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.
Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.
Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to the following key categories, where applicable:
- Convenience Stores
- Discounters
- Hypermarkets
- Supermarkets
- Traditional Grocery Retailers
- Apparel and Footwear Specialist Retailers
- Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
- Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
- Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
- Department Stores
- Variety Stores
- Warehouse Clubs
- Direct Selling
- Homeshopping
- Vending
If you're in the Retail industry in Indonesia, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.
The Retail in Indonesia report includes:
- Analysis of key retail trends
- Detailed segmentation of offline and online retail sales
- Historic channel sizes (retail value sales, outlet counts, and selling space)
- Company and brand market shares (retail value sales and outlet counts)
- Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
- Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country
This report answers:
- What is the market size of Retail in Indonesia?
- Which are the leading retailers in Retail in Indonesia?
- How are products distributed in Retail in Indonesia?
- How is the rise of e-commerce and the expansion of modern grocery retail impacting traditional retail?
- How significant are discounters and private label in Indonesia?
- To what extent are sales shifting towards digital channels?
- What is the long-term outlook for bricks-and-mortar?
- How is macroeconomic and political uncertainty affecting the retail industry?
- What types of retailers are seeing the fastest growth in digital sales?
- What is the future of retail?
Retail in Indonesia
Retail in 2024: Resilient growth amidst a challenging operating environment
Outlet numbers stagnate in Indonesian retail
Different strategies offered by grocery retailers and non-grocery retailers
What next for retail?
Informal retail
Opening hours for physical retail
Seasonality
Eid al-Fitr/Lebaran
School holidays
Harbolnas (national online shopping day)
Christmas
DISCLAIMER
Convenience Retailers in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Another year of positive outlet growth, but at a slower rate than 2023
Persistent discounts a key factor driving sales for convenience retailers
Alfamart extends lead
Outlook for convenience retailers remains cautiously optimistic
Outlet expansion still a priority for convenience retailers
Product discounts to drive sales performance in forecast period
Supermarkets in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Value growth through opening new outlets in suburban areas
Opening new outlets near residential housing complexes and launching mobile apps become biggest drivers of Super Indo’s strong performance
Supra Boga Lestari utilises AI technology to increase outlet revenue
Further growth expected
Positive outlet growth expected over the forecast period
Players expected to offer new in-store experiences and price discounts for fresh products to grab consumers’ attention
Hypermarkets in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Positive value growth but negative outlet growth
Hypermart reverses sales decline with the sale of subsidised products and refreshment of store concept
Offering product premiumisation, Grand Lucky has succeeded in getting the attention of consumers
Hypermarkets to continue to face challenges
The trend of outlet decline set to continue in the forecast period
Different promotional activities being offered to compete with convenience stores and supermarkets
Small Local Grocers in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Value growth but low-income consumers segment tend to trade down towards lower product quality
Warung Maduras benefit from various advantages
Food sales still the biggest contributor to value
Convenience stores’ expansion to suburban areas a key challenge
Daily food and drink commodities still the most sought after products, with sachet sizes set to make a big contribution
Stagnant outlet numbers, but stores located far from convenience stores will survive
General Merchandise Stores in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Department stores facing challenges
Concept innovation by leading players in variety stores
Matahari Department Store retains lead, while Miniso’s share grows
Outlets with innovative in-store experience stand best chance of success
Variety stores to increase offering of products that suit the lifestyles of young people
Filing the gap by providing what retail e-commerce cannot offer
Apparel and Footwear Specialists in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Category contraction due to performance of independent players
Another strong performance by Uniqlo, but tough period for Bata
Price discounts during seasonal periods, exclusive discounts and store re-branding
Increase in purchasing power in low- and middle-income segment to boost sales
Competition with retail e-commerce will drive improvements to in-store experience
Increase in selling space to provide additional in-store experience
Appliances and Electronics Specialists in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Another year of growth, with value sales from smartphones the biggest contributor
Outstanding performance by Erajaya Swasembada Tbk PT
Massive cut price promotions in response to weakening consumer purchasing power
Smartphones to remain key, while retailers focus on outlet expansion
Appliances and electronics specialists to benefit from sticky consumer habits
Feature innovations to encourage consumers to upgrade their electronic products, while shopping festivals and roadshows to boost value sales
Home Products Specialists in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Outstanding performance by Ace Hardware
Catur Mitra Sejati Sentosa continues with significant outlet expansion
Decline in homewares and home furnishings stores
Outlet expansion to play key role in growth
Pet shops and superstores to continue to expand
Reliance on more affluent consumers
Health and Beauty Specialists in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Growth despite competition from online
Pharmacies sees growth driven by rising outlet numbers and rising awareness of healthier lifestyles
K-24 provides strong competition for the leader
Further growth ahead
Pharmacies players need to increase service levels to maintain consumer loyalty
Optical goods stores to see growth despite facing stiffer competition from retail e-commerce
Direct Selling in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Ban on direct sales of products on online marketplaces undermines value sales
Herbalife provides continuous training for its members and makes effective use of social media
Continuous product innovation important in providing customer value in direct selling in Indonesia
Value sales not expected to recover in the forecast period
Health and beauty products to remain the key contributor
Players focusing more on beauty products
Retail E-Commerce in Indonesia
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Continued strong growth driven by increase in internet users and accessibility
Live streaming feature and new collaborations support another strong performance from Shopee and Tokopedia
Shopee retains its lead through innovation in features, as well as improving transaction quality
Value sales to grow supported by increase in internet penetration
Higher value sales contribution from live streaming, while TikTok expands further
The use of AI technology will boost value sales in the forecast period
The following categories and subcategories are included:
Retail
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- Convenience Stores
- Forecourt Retailers
- Supermarkets
- Hypermarkets
- Discounters
- Warehouse Clubs
- Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
- Small Local Grocers
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- Department Stores
- Variety Stores
- Apparel and Footwear Specialists
- Appliances and Electronics Specialists
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- Home Improvement and Gardening Stores
- Homewares and Home Furnishing Stores
- Pet Shops and Superstores
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- Beauty Specialists
- Pharmacies
- Optical Goods Stores
- Health and Personal Care Stores
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- Bags and Luggage Specialists
- Jewellery and Watch Specialists
- Sports Goods Stores
- Traditional Toys and Games Stores
- Other Non-Grocery Retailers
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- Fashion Vending
- Health and Beauty Vending
- Appliances and Electronics Vending
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- Alcoholic Drinks Vending
- Hot Drinks Vending
- Soft Drinks Vending
- Tobacco Products Vending
- Foods Vending
- Home Products Vending
- Other Products Vending
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- Apparel and Footwear Direct Selling
- Personal Accessories Direct Selling
- Eyewear Direct Selling
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- Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
- Consumer Health Direct Selling
- Tissue and Hygiene Direct Selling
- Appliances and Electronics Direct Selling
- Drinks and Tobacco Direct Selling
- Foods Direct Selling
- Home Products Direct Selling
- Other Products Direct Selling
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- Apparel and Footwear E-Commerce
- Personal Accessories E-Commerce
- Eyewear E-Commerce
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- Beauty and Personal Care E-Commerce
- Consumer Health E-Commerce
- Tissue and Hygiene E-Commerce
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- Consumer Appliances E-Commerce
- Consumer Electronics E-Commerce
- Toys and Games E-Commerce
- Drinks and Tobacco E-Commerce
- Foods E-Commerce
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- Home Care E-Commerce
- Home and Garden E-Commerce
- Pet Care E-Commerce
- Other Products E-Commerce
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- First-Party (1P) Marketplace E-Commerce
- Third-Party (3P) Marketplace E-Commerce
- Grocery E-Commerce
- General Merchandiser E-Commerce
- Apparel and Footwear Specialist E-Commerce
- Appliances and Electronics Specialist E-Commerce
- Home Products Specialist E-Commerce
- Health and Beauty Specialist E-Commerce
- Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist E-Commerce
- Other E-Commerce Retailers
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Retail
Retail is the sale of new and used goods to consumers from a business for personal or household consumption from retail outlets, kiosks, market stalls, vending, direct selling and e-commerce. Retail is the aggregation of Retail Offline and Retail E-Commerce. Excludes specialist retailers of motor vehicles, motorcycles, vehicle parts. Also excludes fuel sales, foodservice sales, rental transactions, and wholesale sales (e.g. Cash and Carry). Sales value excluding or including VAT/Sales Tax. Retail also excludes the informal retail sector. Informal retailing is retail trade which is not declared to the tax authorities. Informal retailing encompasses (a) sales generated by unregistered and unlicensed retailers, i.e. retailers operating illegally, and (b) any proportion of sales generated by a registered and licensed retailer that is not declared to the tax authorities. Unregistered and unlicensed retailers operate predominantly (although not exclusively) as street hawkers or operate open market stalls, as these channels are harder for the authorities to monitor than permanent outlets. Activities in the illegal market, which is usually understood to refer to trade in illegal, counterfeit or stolen merchandise, are included within our definition of informal retailing. Activities in the “grey market”, which is usually understood to refer to trade in legal merchandise that is sold through unauthorized channels – for example cigarettes bought legally in another country, legally imported, but sold at lower prices than in authorized channels – will be included as informal retailing if no tax is paid on sale by the retailer. However if the retailer pays tax – for example on cigarettes bought legally in another country but sold at a lower price than standard – the sale is included within formal retail.
See all of our definitionsWhy buy this report?
- Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
- Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
- Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions
This report originates from Passport, our Retail research and analysis database.
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