Baked Goods in Norway

November 2025
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Overview:

Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Baked Goods industry in Norway with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.

Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.

Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to a comprehensive range of core packaged food categories.

If you're in the Baked Goods industry in Norway, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.

The Baked Goods in Norway report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volume and value sizes, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country

This report answers:

  • What is the market size of Baked Goods in Norway?
  • Which are the leading brands in Baked Goods in Norway?
  • How are products distributed in Baked Goods in Norway?
  • How is the rise of e-commerce and/or the expansion of modern grocery retail impacting traditional retail?
  • What are the key health and wellness concerns driving, or challenging, sales in Baked Goods?
  • How significant are vegan and vegetarian dietary requirements in determining sales growth in Norway?
  • How has COVID-19 impacted consumer demand? To what extent have lockdown, home seclusion and stockpiling boosted sales? Will the longer term economic repercussions of the pandemic stimulate or suppress future growth?
  • Where is future growth expected to be most dynamic?
  • How significant will values-based claims, such as sustainability and ethical labelling, be in supporting future growth and brand equity?

Baked Goods in Norway - Category analysis

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Freshness, indulgence and health-centred innovation drive positive category momentum
Demand rises as consumers balance tradition with healthier and more premium bakery choices
Unpackaged pastries gain traction as consumers seek freshness, craftsmanship and convenience
Rising costs of key ingredients influence assortment choices and fuel interest in local and simpler recipes
Steady growth expected as innovation in health, convenience and sustainability shapes category evolution
Health and wellness trends encourage reformulation and cleaner labels
Technology and sustainability reshape production, distribution and product innovation
Market leaders benefit from extensive networks, product breadth and sustained innovation
Traditional specialists gain momentum through premiumisation, heritage and high-quality ingredients
Supermarkets remain the central distribution hub due to strong availability and broad assortments
Retail e-commerce accelerates as digital shopping habits strengthen and wider assortments become available
Table 1 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 2 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 3 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 4 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 5 Sales of Pastries by Type: % Value 2020-2025
Table 6 NBO Company Shares of Baked Goods: % Value 2021-2025
Table 7 LBN Brand Shares of Baked Goods: % Value 2022-2025
Table 8 Distribution of Baked Goods by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2025-2030
Table 10 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2025-2030
Table 11 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
Table 12 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030

Staple Foods in Norway - Industry Overview

Rising interest in healthier, more sustainable choices supports positive value growth

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Convenience, health considerations and cost-consciousness shape staple foods consumption
Local sourcing and the New Nordic ethos fuel interest in traditional and plant-forward staples
Growing focus on sustainable dietary choices reshapes demand patterns
Stable value growth expected as health, sustainability and product variety continue to influence demand
More targeted health and wellness innovation emerges as consumers seek functional benefits
Distribution evolves as e-commerce strengthens and sustainability shapes supply chain strategies
Established domestic players maintain leadership through strong sourcing and trusted local brands
Premium organic producers and private label intensify competitive pressure
Supermarkets retain a dominant role due to broad assortments and strong shopper loyalty
Retail e-commerce accelerates as digital habits persist and assortment breadth expands
Table 13 Sales of Staple Foods by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 14 Sales of Staple Foods by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 15 Sales of Staple Foods by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 16 Sales of Staple Foods by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 17 NBO Company Shares of Staple Foods: % Value 2021-2025
Table 18 LBN Brand Shares of Staple Foods: % Value 2022-2025
Table 19 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2020-2025
Table 20 Distribution of Staple Foods by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 21 Forecast Sales of Staple Foods by Category: Volume 2025-2030
Table 22 Forecast Sales of Staple Foods by Category: Value 2025-2030
Table 23 Forecast Sales of Staple Foods by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Staple Foods by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030

COUNTRY REPORTS DISCLAIMER

Summary 1 Research Sources
The following categories and subcategories are included:

Baked Goods

      • Packaged Flat Bread
      • Unpackaged Flat Bread
      • Packaged Leavened Bread
      • Unpackaged Leavened Bread
    • Packaged Cakes
    • Unpackaged Cakes
  • Dessert Mixes
  • Frozen Baked Goods
    • Packaged Pastries
    • Unpackaged Pastries
    • Sweet Pies and Tarts
    • Frozen Cakes, Sweet Pies and Tarts

Baked Goods

This is the aggregation of bread, pastries, dessert mixes, frozen baked goods and cakes. Note: in most cases, baked goods from in-store bakeries are classified under unpackaged/artisanal. While many such offerings may be finished on-site, they are often prepared, then frozen or par-baked, at other locations. Such production models are very important for supermarket in-store bakeries, which are often used to drive traffic and fill stores with appetising aromas, but for which the labour resources required to run a full-service scratch bakery are not always available. Baked goods baked from central bakeries sold unpackaged in other outlets are classified as unpackaged/artisanal. In the specific case of in-store bakery counters (for example, in supermarkets), if baked goods are finished on-site but then packaged (for example, in a box or bag) with a barcode and price, set out in the store for sale in this packaging and sold like any other packaged food product (i.e. a customer takes the packaged item from a shelf) then this is classified as packaged. If however the baked good is finished on-site, displayed unpackaged but then placed in packaging as part of the transaction (i.e. a supermarket worker at an in-store bakery counter/a customer places it in a box/bag after it has been chosen, to allow it to be carried safely) this is still classified as unpackaged.

See all of our definitions
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This report originates from Passport, our Baked Goods research and analysis database.

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