Soft drinks in 2024: The big picture
Over the course of 2022-2023, inflation rates in New Zealand surged past 7%, as the country dealt with supply chain disruptions, infrastructure challenges, and the aftereffects of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) decision to reduce the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to record lows during the COVID-19 pandemic. This decision, combined with the government’s fiscal stimulus measures – including wage subsidies – exacerbated the pressure on inflation.
2024 key trends
A significant issue impacting carbonates toward the end of the review period was a drastic shortage of CO2, triggered by the shutdown of New Zealand's only domestic CO2 production facility at Kapuni, following an ammonia leak on-site. This shortage had far-reaching effects, not only on carbonated soft drinks but across a range of other FMCG categories, including beer, wine, and even frozen chicken products.
Competitive landscape
Coca-Cola Amatil (NZ) Ltd remains the dominant player in soft drinks in New Zealand in 2024, with a leading position across several categories. The company continues to hold the largest share of the carbonates market, driven by the strength of its Coca-Cola brand.
Retailing developments
The retail landscape for soft drinks in New Zealand remains highly fragmented. While supermarkets continue to lead the market, convenience channels such as forecourt retailers and convenience stores also hold significant shares.
Foodservice vs retail split
The foodservice sector in New Zealand has been heavily affected by high inflation rates, which reached 6% in recent years. In response, the Reserve Bank raised interest rates to near-record highs in an attempt to control inflation, resulting in higher mortgage rates and rents.
What next for soft drinks?
Although inflationary pressures in New Zealand have started to ease in 2024, soft drinks continues to face elevated input costs across key areas, including shipping, distribution, energy, insurance, and labour. Despite these ongoing challenges, the good news for the sector is that lower interest rates over the forecast period are expected to provide financial relief to both manufacturers and consumers.
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Overview:
Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Soft Drinks industry in New Zealand with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.
Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.
Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to the following key categories, where applicable:
- Bottled Water
- Carbonates
- Concentrates
- Juice
- RTD Coffee
- RTD Tea
- Energy Drinks
- Sports Drinks
- Asian Speciality Drinks
If you're in the Soft Drinks industry in New Zealand, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.
The Soft Drinks in New Zealand report includes:
- Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
- Detailed segmentation of international and local products
- Historic volume and value sizes, company and brand market shares
- Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
- Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country
This report answers:
- What is the market size of Soft Drinks in New Zealand?
- To what extent are health considerations impacting consumption of Soft Drinks in New Zealand?
- How are changing social attitudes and legislation (eg sugar tax) reshaping demand and consumption?
- How are changing demographics (for example, an ageing or predominantly young population) determining consumption of Soft Drinks in New Zealand?
- Which are the leading brands in Soft Drinks in New Zealand?
- What potential exists for multinational or domestic soft drinks companies to expand in New Zealand?
- How are products distributed in Soft Drinks in New Zealand?
- How is the rise of e-commerce changing the retail and competitive landscape?
- How have home seclusion and social distancing measures following COVID-19 impacted sales of Soft Drinks?
- How are sustainability issues, such as environmentally-friendly packaging, legislation on recyclability, or the amount of plastic in bottles, impacting the soft drinks industry?
- Where is future growth expected to be most dynamic?
Soft Drinks in New Zealand
Soft drinks in 2024: The big picture
2024 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
Foodservice vs retail split
What next for soft drinks?
Fountain sales in New Zealand
DISCLAIMER
Bottled Water in New Zealand
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Inflationary pressures ease, unit price growth slows but still elevated
Cost-of-living pressures drive shift from foodservice to off-trade
Sustainability and cost-of-living concerns lead to lower off-trade demand
Further easing of inflationary pressures and slower value sales growth
Sustainability considerations likely to increase as economy recovers
Rise of sugar-free and sober-curious trends presents opportunities
Carbonates in New Zealand
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Lack of domestic CO2 supply impacting carbonates
Pepsi brand refresh
Cost of living pressures driving shift from foodservice to off-trade
On-trade expected to rebound as economy recovers
Off-shore CO2 dependency to place pressure on supplier margins and unit price growth
Health and wellness preferences to drive continued shift towards sugar-free products
Concentrates in New Zealand
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Lack of dynamism impacts powdered concentrates
Downtrading to private label in response to cost-of-living pressures
Barkers of Geraldine expand into non-traditional adjacencies
Health and wellness trends expected to gain traction with economic recovery
Digital engagement as a key growth driver for local brands
Economic recovery presents opportunities for local craft and artisanal brands
Concentrates Conversions
Juice in New Zealand
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Juice producers feeling the squeeze
Health and wellness remains a priority, despite cost of living pressures
Cost of living pressures driving shift from foodservice to off-trade
Uncertainty over orange supply hangs over local juice industry
Rise of sober-curious trend to impact juice demand
On-trade expected to rebound as economy recovers
RTD Coffee in New Zealand
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Unit price growth slows as category becomes more mainstream
Nestlé enters RTD coffee
Millennials drive RTD coffee consumption
Increased cannibalisation from coffee expected as RTD coffee becomes more mainstream
Sustainability and origin to appeal to consumers
Slowing value sales growth amid improving economic conditions
RTD Tea in New Zealand
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Cost-of-living pressures cause consumer belt-tightening
Dilmah enters RTD tea
Cost-of-living pressures drive shift from foodservice to off-trade
Economic recovery expected to drive renewed health and wellness focus
RTD tea set to grow at the expense of traditional tea
Increased competition likely to benefit budget-conscious consumers
Energy Drinks in New Zealand
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Inflationary pressures ease, but unit price growth remains elevated
PRIME Energy secures local distributor
Cost-of-living pressures drive shift from foodservice to off-trade
Opportunities to target female and millennial consumers
Easing inflationary pressures expected to slow value sales growth
Opportunities for local players focused on sugar-free options
Sports Drinks in New Zealand
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Unit price growth slows amid cost-of-living pressures
PRIME Hydration secures local distributor
Sport sponsorship remains a key marketing tool
Opportunities to target female and millennial consumers
Easing inflationary pressures expected to slow value sales growth
Opportunities for local players focused on sugar-free options
Asian Speciality Drinks in New Zealand
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Asian speciality drinks sees growth from mainstream channels
Strong Asian migration helps to restore growth in the category
Cultural events and festivals offer opportunities to increase customer base
Growing health consciousness likely to support consumption
The following categories and subcategories are included:
Soft Drinks
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- Carbonated Natural Mineral Bottled Water
- Carbonated Spring Bottled Water
- Carbonated Purified Bottled Water
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- Still Flavoured Bottled Water
- Sparkling Flavoured Bottled Water
- Functional Bottled Water
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- Still Natural Mineral Bottled Water
- Still Spring Bottled Water
- Still Purified Bottled Water
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- Regular Carbonates
- Reduced Sugar Carbonates
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- Regular Cola Carbonates
- Reduced Sugar Cola Carbonates
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- Regular Non-Cola Carbonates
- Reduced Sugar Non-Cola Carbonates
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- Regular Lemonade/Lime
- Reduced Sugar Lemonade/Lime
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- Regular Tonic Water/Mixers/Other Bitters
- Reduced Sugar Tonic Water/Mixers/Other Bitters
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- Regular Orange Carbonates
- Reduced Sugar Orange Carbonates
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- Regular Other Non-Cola Carbonates
- Reduced Sugar Other Non-Cola Carbonates
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- Liquid Concentrates
- Powder Concentrates
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- Not from Concentrate 100% Juice
- Reconstituted 100% Juice
- Coconut and Other Plant Waters
- Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice)
- Nectars
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- RTD Coffee
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- Carbonated RTD Tea and Kombucha
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- Regular Still RTD Tea
- Reduced Sugar Still RTD Tea
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- Regular Energy Drinks
- Reduced Sugar Energy Drinks
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- Regular Sports Drinks
- Reduced Sugar Sports Drinks
- Asian Speciality Drinks
Soft Drinks
This is the aggregation of the following categories; Carbonates, Fruit/vegetable juice, Bottled water, Functional drinks, Concentrates, RTD tea, RTD coffee and Asian speciality drinks.
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This report originates from Passport, our Soft Drinks research and analysis database.
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