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Low stable growth in both value and volume terms, while challenges remain
Retail value sales of staple foods in Canada are seeing low positive growth in 2025, in a slight improvement on the previous year, and with volume remaining in sub-decimal positive growth. This performance indicates relatively stable baseline demand, coupled with ongoing inflationary pressures and various challenges which are suppressing potentially stronger growth.
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Overview:
Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Staple Foods industry in Canada with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.
Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.
Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to a comprehensive range of core packaged food categories.
If you're in the Staple Foods industry in Canada, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.
The Staple Foods in Canada report includes:
- Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
- Detailed segmentation of international and local products
- Historic volume and value sizes, company and brand market shares
- Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
- Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country
This report answers:
- What is the market size of Staple Foods in Canada?
- Which are the leading brands in Staple Foods in Canada?
- How are products distributed in Staple Foods in Canada?
- How is the rise of e-commerce and/or the expansion of modern grocery retail impacting traditional retail?
- What are the key health and wellness concerns driving, or challenging, sales in Staple Foods?
- How significant are vegan and vegetarian dietary requirements in determining sales growth in Canada?
- How has COVID-19 impacted consumer demand? To what extent have lockdown, home seclusion and stockpiling boosted sales? Will the longer term economic repercussions of the pandemic stimulate or suppress future growth?
- Where is future growth expected to be most dynamic?
- How significant will values-based claims, such as sustainability and ethical labelling, be in supporting future growth and brand equity?
Staple Foods in Canada
Low stable growth in both value and volume terms, while challenges remain
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Still-high prices continue to restrict stronger volume sales
Health and wellness trends continue to overlap with affordability concerns
Snacking trends continue, supporting baseline sales
Flat volume and low value growth expected, supported by baseline demand and suppressed by ongoing challenges
International/multicultural flavour trends look set to stay over the coming years
Evolving labelling requirements set to impact indulgent and high-sugar products
Loblaw Cos, Canada Bread, and FGF Brands are all attracting attention
Maple Lodge Farms, Nissin Foods, and Mondelez attract attention to their brands to support growth
Mergers and acquisitions and leveraging growing categories boost competitive strength of companies and brands
Supermarkets maintains distribution lead, despite an erosion of share due to competition from budget-friendly outlets
Retail e-commerce sees the strongest channel growth
Table 1 Sales of Staple Foods by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 2 Sales of Staple Foods by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 3 Sales of Staple Foods by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 4 Sales of Staple Foods by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 5 NBO Company Shares of Staple Foods: % Value 2021-2025
Table 6 LBN Brand Shares of Staple Foods: % Value 2022-2025
Table 7 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2020-2025
Table 8 Distribution of Staple Foods by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Staple Foods by Category: Volume 2025-2030
Table 10 Forecast Sales of Staple Foods by Category: Value 2025-2030
Table 11 Forecast Sales of Staple Foods by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
Table 12 Forecast Sales of Staple Foods by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
COUNTRY REPORTS DISCLAIMER
Summary 1 Research Sources
Baked Goods in Canada
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Sales remain in a small negative slump, in both value and volume terms
Sales of baked goods are yet to fully recover, despite the easing of inflation
Mondelez reported to be investing more strongly in cakes and pastries
Recovery to small value growth and flat-positive volume growth expected
Consumers to seek out freshness and experiential flavours
Consumer demand and legislative shifts to influence labelling and formulations
Canada Bread Co, FGF Brands, and Loblaw Cos are the leading players in baked goods
No outstanding company growth seen in baked goods in 2025
Supermarkets maintains distribution lead, despite an erosion of share due to competition from budget-friendly outlets
Retail e-commerce sees the strongest channel growth
Table 13 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 14 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 15 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 16 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 17 Sales of Pastries by Type: % Value 2020-2025
Table 18 NBO Company Shares of Baked Goods: % Value 2021-2025
Table 19 LBN Brand Shares of Baked Goods: % Value 2022-2025
Table 20 Distribution of Baked Goods by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 21 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2025-2030
Table 22 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2025-2030
Table 23 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
Breakfast Cereals in Canada
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Value sales improve slightly, while volume sales fall
Healthy-positioned breakfast cereals are those which perform the best
Health and wellness trends continue to overlap with affordability concerns
Small value growth and flat volume expected for breakfast cereals
Indulgent categories to lean on snacking trends to target younger consumers
Wellness trends and labelling updates to dampen growth of cereals
WK Kellog maintains leading place thanks to strength of overall portfolio
PepsiCo sees strongest company growth after recovering from product recalls in 2024
Supermarkets maintains distribution lead, despite an erosion of share due to competition from budget-friendly outlets
Retail e-commerce sees the strongest channel growth
Table 25 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 26 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 27 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 28 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 29 NBO Company Shares of Breakfast Cereals: % Value 2021-2025
Table 30 LBN Brand Shares of Breakfast Cereals: % Value 2022-2025
Table 31 Distribution of Breakfast Cereals by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2025-2030
Table 33 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2025-2030
Table 34 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
Table 35 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
Processed Fruit and Vegetables in Canada
KEY DATA FINDINGS
A positive, and slightly improved, performance for processed fruit and vegetables
Processed fruit and vegetables benefit from popularity and affordable prices
Health and wellness trends influence purchasing behaviour
Modest forecast growth expected due to maturity of category and uncertainty about tariffs
Sustainability and eco-friendliness increasingly incorporated for added value
Snacking and wellness trends present opportunities for innovation and growth
Bonduelle Canada maintains lead thanks to strength of its two key brands — Del Monte and Arctic Gardens
McCain enjoys the strongest growth thanks to the extension of its portfolio
Supermarkets maintains distribution lead, despite an erosion of share due to competition from budget-friendly outlets
Retail e-commerce sees the strongest channel growth
Table 36 Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 37 Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 38 Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 39 Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 40 Sales of Frozen Processed Vegetables by Type: % Value Breakdown 2020-2025
Table 41 NBO Company Shares of Processed Fruit and Vegetables: % Value 2021-2025
Table 42 LBN Brand Shares of Processed Fruit and Vegetables: % Value 2022-2025
Table 43 Distribution of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 44 Forecast Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: Volume 2025-2030
Table 45 Forecast Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: Value 2025-2030
Table 46 Forecast Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
Table 47 Forecast Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives To Meat in Canada
KEY DATA FINDINGS
A positive performance supported by meat and seafood substitutes and processed meat
Health and wellness trends influence purchasing behaviours
Meat and seafood substitutes supported by rising vegetarian and vegan trends
Positive sales growth expected over the forecast period
Tariff impact on prices and production
Competition with ready meals and meal kits expected to intensify
Maple Leaf Foods (GBO) leads sales, marking expansion with new subsidiary
Companies offering substitutes see double-digit growth
Supermarkets remain the most convenient outlets, while discounters expand their freezer space
Retail e-commerce sees the strongest growth, reflecting an overall trend
Table 48 Sales of Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives to Meat by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 49 Sales of Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives to Meat by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 50 Sales of Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives to Meat by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 51 Sales of Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives to Meat by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 52 Sales of Shelf Stable Processed Red Meat by Type: % Volume Breakdown 2020-2025
Table 53 Sales of Chilled Processed Red Meat by Type: % Volume Breakdown 2020-2025
Table 54 Sales of Frozen Processed Red Meat by Type: % Volume Breakdown 2020-2025
Table 55 Sales of Frozen Processed Poultry by Type: % Value Breakdown 2020-2025
Table 56 Sales of Frozen Processed Seafood by Type: % Value Breakdown 2020-2025
Table 57 NBO Company Shares of Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives to Meat: % Value 2021-2025
Table 58 LBN Brand Shares of Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives to Meat: % Value 2022-2025
Table 59 Distribution of Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives to Meat by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 60 Forecast Sales of Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives to Meat by Category: Volume 2025-2030
Table 61 Forecast Sales of Processed Meat, Seafood and Alternatives to Meat by Category: Value 2025-2030
Rice, Pasta and Noodles in Canada
KEY DATA FINDINGS
Positive sales for rice, pasta and noodles, thanks to stable baseline demand
Affordability and health and wellness offerings drive sales
Success of noodles supported by Asian immigration demographics
Economic and demographic shifts signal varied opportunities for category growth
Snacking and convenience trends present growth opportunities
Protein claims lead health and wellness demand
Catelli Foods maintains overall lead thanks to strength in pasta
Nissin benefits from popularity of instant noodles and strong marketing activities
Supermarkets maintains distribution lead, despite an erosion of share due to competition from budget-friendly outlets
Retail e-commerce sees the strongest channel growth
Table 62 Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 63 Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 64 Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 65 Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 66 Sales of Instant Noodles by Leading Flavours: Rankings 2020-2025
Table 67 NBO Company Shares of Rice, Pasta and Noodles: % Value 2021-2025
Table 68 LBN Brand Shares of Rice, Pasta and Noodles: % Value 2022-2025
Table 69 NBO Company Shares of Rice: % Value 2021-2025
Table 70 LBN Brand Shares of Rice: % Value 2022-2025
Table 71 NBO Company Shares of Pasta: % Value 2021-2025
Table 72 LBN Brand Shares of Pasta: % Value 2022-2025
Table 73 NBO Company Shares of Noodles: % Value 2021-2025
Table 74 LBN Brand Shares of Noodles: % Value 2022-2025
Table 75 Distribution of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 76 Distribution of Rice by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 77 Distribution of Pasta by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 78 Distribution of Noodles by Format: % Value 2020-2025
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: Volume 2025-2030
Table 80 Forecast Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: Value 2025-2030
Table 81 Forecast Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
Table 82 Forecast Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
COUNTRY REPORTS DISCLAIMER
The following categories and subcategories are included:
Staple Foods
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- Packaged Flat Bread
- Unpackaged Flat Bread
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- Packaged Leavened Bread
- Unpackaged Leavened Bread
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- Packaged Cakes
- Unpackaged Cakes
- Dessert Mixes
- Frozen Baked Goods
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- Packaged Pastries
- Unpackaged Pastries
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- Sweet Pies and Tarts
- Frozen Cakes, Sweet Pies and Tarts
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- Hot Cereals
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- Children's Breakfast Cereals
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- Flakes
- Muesli and Granola
- Other RTE Cereals
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- Shelf Stable Beans
- Shelf Stable Fruit
- Shelf Stable Tomatoes
- Shelf Stable Vegetables
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- Frozen Fruit
- Frozen Processed Potatoes
- Frozen Processed Vegetables
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- Shelf Stable Processed Red Meat
- Shelf Stable Processed Poultry
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- Chilled Processed Red Meat
- Chilled Processed Poultry
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- Frozen Processed Red Meat
- Frozen Processed Poultry
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- Shelf Stable Seafood
- Chilled Processed Seafood
- Frozen Processed Seafood
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- Chilled Meat and Seafood Substitutes
- Frozen Meat and Seafood Substitutes
- Shelf Stable Meat and Seafood Substitutes
- Tofu and Derivatives
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- Chilled Noodles
- Frozen Noodles
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- Instant Noodle Cups
- Instant Noodle Pouches
- Plain Noodles
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- Chilled Pasta
- Dried Pasta
- Rice
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Staple Foods
NOTE: Couscous, polenta and quinoa are excluded from staple foods.
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